SpoFo Forecast Analysis: 2018 season

team	actual total from tsf_sports team totals	actual-by-player	predicted by player	Difference	% Diff
Ana	196	182	257	75	41.2%
Ari	209	205	249	44	21.5%
Bos	257	274	300	26	9.5%
Buf	221	223	289	66	29.6%
Car	243	250	259	9	3.6%
CBJ	256	295	341	46	15.6%
Cgy	289	291	289	-2	-0.7%
Chi	267	275	246	-29	-10.5%
Col	258	268	314	46	17.2%
Dal	209	221	307	86	38.9%
Det	224	206	261	55	26.7%
Edm	229	219	268	49	22.4%
Fla	264	258	285	27	10.5%
LA	199	190	264	74	38.9%
Min	210	205	269	64	31.2%
Mtl	246	243	239	-4	-1.6%
NJ	219	192	237	45	23.4%
Nsh	236	261	330	69	26.4%
NYI	223	223	260	37	16.6%
NYR	221	202	226	24	11.9%
Ott	242	179	211	32	17.9%
Phi	241	227	259	32	14.1%
Pit	271	257	310	53	20.6%
SJ	289	306	321	15	4.9%
StL	244	245	275	30	12.2%
TB	319	320	313	-7	-2.2%
Tor	286	285	304	19	6.7%
Van	219	228	258	30	13.2%
VGK	246	268	303	35	13.1%
Wpg	270	279	330	51	18.3%
Wsh	274	277	288	11	4.0%
TOTALS:	7577	7554	8662	1108	14.7%
AVERAGES:	244.419	243.677	279.419	35.742	14.7%

2021-22 Current Projection Sums

Team Skater Predictions for 2021-22 Season

team	goals total
Europe	406
Edm	184
VGK	181
Col	179
NYI	175
Pit	172
Wpg	170
Tor	164
Fla	162
Wsh	150
Van	142
Car	136
NJ	131
NYR	131
Min	129
StL	129
Chi	124
SJ	116
Ott	113
TB	111
Bos	110
Det	107
Dal	106
Nsh	106
Mtl	102
LA	101
Uta	93
Phi	92
Cgy	91
CBJ	88
Ana	84
Sea	81
Buf	76
AHL	58
Ari
ECHL
TOTAL:	4500
AVERAGE:	141
Avg. GPG/Team:	1.7149390243902

Goalie Prediction Breakdowns for 2021-22 Season

team	last	first	gp	gaa	goals total
AHL	Sparks	Garret	1	4.38	4.38
Ana	Husso	Ville	22	2.43	53.46
Ana	Mrazek	Petr	31	2.69	83.39
Bos	Korpisalo	Joonas	33	2.6	85.8
Car	Andersen	Frederik	33	2.92	96.36
CBJ	Merzlikins	Elvis	27	2.35	63.45
Chi	Brossoit	Laurent	16	3.18	50.88
Col	Blackwood	Mackenzie	32	2.70	86.4
Dal	DeSmith	Casey	13	3.03	39.39
Det	Gibson	John	41	2.79	114.39
Det	Talbot	Cam	28	2.83	79.24
Edm	Jarry	Tristan	43	2.63	113.09
Europe	Samsonov	Ilya	36	2.25	81
Europe	Raanta	Antti	22	2.67	58.74
Europe	Driedger	Chris	12	3.25	39
Fla	Bobrovsky	Sergei	44	2.87	126.28
LA	Kuemper	Darcy	39	2.32	90.48
Min	Petersen	Cal	33	2.54	83.82
Mtl	Kahkonen	Kaapo	12	2.64	31.68
NJ	Markstrom	Jacob	44	2.65	116.6
NJ	Allen	Jake	20	2.87	57.4
Nsh	Saros	Juuse	39	2.76	107.64
NYI	Sorokin	Ilya	33	2.34	77.22
NYI	Varlamov	Semyon	25	2.66	66.5
NYI	Hogberg	Marcus	11	2.89	31.79
NYI	Rittich	David	12	3.12	37.44
NYR	Shesterkin	Igor	35	2.55	89.25
NYR	Quick	Jonathan	29	2.77	80.33
Ott	Ullmark	Linus	40	2.49	99.6
Sea	Grubauer	Philipp	38	2.33	88.54
Sea	Murray	Matt	40	2.89	115.6
SJ	Price	Carey	42	2.73	114.66
StL	Binnington	Jordan	34	2.51	85.34
TB	Vasilevskiy	Andrei	42	2.36	99.12
Uta	Vanecek	Vitek	12	2.49	29.88
Van	Demko	Thatcher	31	2.82	87.42
Van	Lankinen	Kevin	12	3.01	36.12
VGK	Hart	Carter	39	2.40	93.6
Wpg	Hellebuyck	Connor	44	2.62	115.28

Team Skater + Goalie Sums

TEAM	GOALS PREDICTED FOR	GOALS PREDICTED AGAINST	PREDICTED WINNING % (GF^2)/(GF^2 + GA^2)	Predicted Wins	Predicted Losses
AHL	58	359	0.136	11	71
Ana	84	212	0.287	24	58
Bos	110	213	0.334	27	55
Car	136	239	0.368	30	52
CBJ	88	193	0.316	26	56
Chi	124	261	0.324	27	55
Col	179	221	0.443	36	46
Dal	106	248	0.294	24	58
Det	107	230	0.315	26	56
Edm	184	216	0.460	38	44
Europe	406	209	0.657	54	28
Fla	162	235	0.407	33	49
LA	101	190	0.354	29	53
Min	129	208	0.384	32	50
Mtl	102	216	0.314	26	56
NJ	131	223	0.369	30	52
Nsh	106	226	0.317	26	56
NYI	175	216	0.442	36	46
NYR	131	217	0.371	30	52
Ott	113	204	0.358	29	53
Sea	81	215	0.280	23	59
SJ	116	224	0.343	28	54
StL	129	206	0.391	32	50
TB	111	194	0.362	30	52
Uta	93	204	0.316	26	56
Van	142	236	0.370	30	52
VGK	181	197	0.479	39	43
Wpg	170	215	0.441	36	46