SpoFo Forecast Analysis: 2018 season

team	actual total from tsf_sports team totals	actual-by-player	predicted by player	Difference	% Diff
Ana	196	182	257	75	41.2%
Ari	209	205	249	44	21.5%
Bos	257	274	300	26	9.5%
Buf	221	223	289	66	29.6%
Car	243	250	259	9	3.6%
CBJ	256	295	341	46	15.6%
Cgy	289	291	289	-2	-0.7%
Chi	267	275	246	-29	-10.5%
Col	258	268	314	46	17.2%
Dal	209	221	307	86	38.9%
Det	224	206	261	55	26.7%
Edm	229	219	268	49	22.4%
Fla	264	258	285	27	10.5%
LA	199	190	264	74	38.9%
Min	210	205	269	64	31.2%
Mtl	246	243	239	-4	-1.6%
NJ	219	192	237	45	23.4%
Nsh	236	261	330	69	26.4%
NYI	223	223	260	37	16.6%
NYR	221	202	226	24	11.9%
Ott	242	179	211	32	17.9%
Phi	241	227	259	32	14.1%
Pit	271	257	310	53	20.6%
SJ	289	306	321	15	4.9%
StL	244	245	275	30	12.2%
TB	319	320	313	-7	-2.2%
Tor	286	285	304	19	6.7%
Van	219	228	258	30	13.2%
VGK	246	268	303	35	13.1%
Wpg	270	279	330	51	18.3%
Wsh	274	277	288	11	4.0%
TOTALS:	7577	7554	8662	1108	14.7%
AVERAGES:	244.419	243.677	279.419	35.742	14.7%

2021-22 Current Projection Sums

Team Skater Predictions for 2021-22 Season

team	goals total
Europe	297
VGK	203
Tor	192
Pit	184
Edm	179
NYI	175
Wpg	170
Col	166
Van	152
Wsh	150
Fla	147
Car	145
Chi	144
Nsh	134
StL	131
TB	128
Det	127
NYR	126
Min	121
Ott	121
NJ	120
CBJ	117
SJ	116
Bos	110
Dal	106
LA	101
Cgy	99
Ana	97
Mtl	93
Uta	93
Phi	92
Sea	81
Buf	76
AHL	35
Ari
ECHL
TOTAL:	4528
AVERAGE:	142
Avg. GPG/Team:	1.7256097560976

Goalie Prediction Breakdowns for 2021-22 Season

team	last	first	gp	gaa	goals total
AHL	Sparks	Garret	1	4.38	4.38
Ana	Husso	Ville	22	2.43	53.46
Ana	Mrazek	Petr	31	2.69	83.39
Ana	Dansk	Oscar	8	3.02	24.16
Bos	Korpisalo	Joonas	33	2.6	85.8
Buf	Reimer	James	27	2.66	71.82
Car	Andersen	Frederik	33	2.92	96.36
CBJ	Merzlikins	Elvis	27	2.35	63.45
Chi	Brossoit	Laurent	16	3.18	50.88
Col	Blackwood	Mackenzie	32	2.70	86.4
Dal	DeSmith	Casey	13	3.03	39.39
Det	Campbell	Jack	27	2.78	75.06
Det	Gibson	John	41	2.79	114.39
Det	Talbot	Cam	28	2.83	79.24
Europe	Khudobin	Anton	31	2.27	70.37
Europe	Raanta	Antti	22	2.67	58.74
Europe	Driedger	Chris	12	3.25	39
Fla	Bobrovsky	Sergei	44	2.87	126.28
LA	Kuemper	Darcy	39	2.32	90.48
Min	Petersen	Cal	33	2.54	83.82
Mtl	Kahkonen	Kaapo	12	2.64	31.68
Mtl	Price	Carey	42	2.73	114.66
NJ	Markstrom	Jacob	44	2.65	116.6
NJ	Allen	Jake	20	2.87	57.4
Nsh	Saros	Juuse	39	2.76	107.64
NYI	Sorokin	Ilya	33	2.34	77.22
NYI	Varlamov	Semyon	25	2.66	66.5
NYI	Hogberg	Marcus	11	2.89	31.79
NYI	Rittich	David	12	3.12	37.44
NYR	Shesterkin	Igor	35	2.55	89.25
NYR	Quick	Jonathan	29	2.77	80.33
Ott	Ullmark	Linus	40	2.49	99.6
Pit	Jarry	Tristan	43	2.63	113.09
Sea	Grubauer	Philipp	38	2.33	88.54
Sea	Murray	Matt	40	2.89	115.6
SJ	Georgiev	Alexandar	25	2.84	71
StL	Binnington	Jordan	34	2.51	85.34
TB	Vasilevskiy	Andrei	42	2.36	99.12
Uta	Vanecek	Vitek	12	2.49	29.88
Van	Demko	Thatcher	31	2.82	87.42
Van	Lankinen	Kevin	12	3.01	36.12
VGK	Samsonov	Ilya	36	2.25	81
Wpg	Hellebuyck	Connor	44	2.62	115.28

Team Skater + Goalie Sums

TEAM	GOALS PREDICTED FOR	GOALS PREDICTED AGAINST	PREDICTED WINNING % (GF^2)/(GF^2 + GA^2)	Predicted Wins	Predicted Losses
AHL	35	359	0.085	7	75
Ana	97	216	0.312	26	56
Bos	110	213	0.334	27	55
Buf	76	218	0.265	22	60
Car	145	239	0.383	31	51
CBJ	117	193	0.379	31	51
Chi	144	261	0.357	29	53
Col	166	221	0.424	35	47
Dal	106	248	0.294	24	58
Det	127	230	0.354	29	53
Europe	297	212	0.583	48	34
Fla	147	235	0.384	31	51
LA	101	190	0.354	29	53
Min	121	208	0.369	30	52
Mtl	93	222	0.302	25	57
NJ	120	223	0.356	29	53
Nsh	134	226	0.371	30	52
NYI	175	216	0.442	36	46
NYR	126	217	0.362	30	52
Ott	121	204	0.374	31	51
Pit	184	216	0.460	38	44
Sea	81	215	0.280	23	59
SJ	116	233	0.334	27	55
StL	131	206	0.387	32	50
TB	128	194	0.404	33	49
Uta	93	204	0.316	26	56
Van	152	236	0.393	32	50
VGK	203	184	0.519	43	39
Wpg	170	215	0.441	36	46