SpoFo Forecast Analysis: 2018 season

team	actual total from tsf_sports team totals	actual-by-player	predicted by player	Difference	% Diff
Ana	196	182	257	75	41.2%
Ari	209	205	249	44	21.5%
Bos	257	274	300	26	9.5%
Buf	221	223	289	66	29.6%
Car	243	250	259	9	3.6%
CBJ	256	295	341	46	15.6%
Cgy	289	291	289	-2	-0.7%
Chi	267	275	246	-29	-10.5%
Col	258	268	314	46	17.2%
Dal	209	221	307	86	38.9%
Det	224	206	261	55	26.7%
Edm	229	219	268	49	22.4%
Fla	264	258	285	27	10.5%
LA	199	190	264	74	38.9%
Min	210	205	269	64	31.2%
Mtl	246	243	239	-4	-1.6%
NJ	219	192	237	45	23.4%
Nsh	236	261	330	69	26.4%
NYI	223	223	260	37	16.6%
NYR	221	202	226	24	11.9%
Ott	242	179	211	32	17.9%
Phi	241	227	259	32	14.1%
Pit	271	257	310	53	20.6%
SJ	289	306	321	15	4.9%
StL	244	245	275	30	12.2%
TB	319	320	313	-7	-2.2%
Tor	286	285	304	19	6.7%
Van	219	228	258	30	13.2%
VGK	246	268	303	35	13.1%
Wpg	270	279	330	51	18.3%
Wsh	274	277	288	11	4.0%
TOTALS:	7577	7554	8662	1108	14.7%
AVERAGES:	244.419	243.677	279.419	35.742	14.7%

2021-22 Current Projection Sums

Team Skater Predictions for 2021-22 Season

team	goals total
Europe	289
Edm	239
VGK	208
Tor	196
Wsh	196
Col	195
NYI	162
Wpg	158
Fla	153
Pit	153
NYR	150
Van	143
Car	142
Nsh	138
Dal	137
Cgy	136
TB	135
Det	130
Chi	128
StL	128
Ott	122
CBJ	117
Mtl	105
NJ	104
Sea	99
Min	98
LA	93
Bos	91
Uta	91
Buf	87
SJ	83
Ana	72
Phi	72
AHL	21
Ari
ECHL
TOTAL:	4571
AVERAGE:	143
Avg. GPG/Team:	1.7419969512195

Goalie Prediction Breakdowns for 2021-22 Season

team	last	first	gp	gaa	goals total
AHL	Sparks	Garret	1	4.38	4.38
Ana	Husso	Ville	22	2.43	53.46
Ana	Gibson	John	41	2.79	114.39
Ana	Dansk	Oscar	8	3.02	24.16
Bos	Korpisalo	Joonas	33	2.6	85.8
Buf	Reimer	James	27	2.66	71.82
Car	Andersen	Frederik	33	2.92	96.36
CBJ	Merzlikins	Elvis	27	2.35	63.45
Chi	Brossoit	Laurent	16	3.18	50.88
Col	Blackwood	Mackenzie	32	2.70	86.4
Dal	DeSmith	Casey	13	3.03	39.39
Det	Mrazek	Petr	31	2.69	83.39
Det	Campbell	Jack	27	2.78	75.06
Det	Talbot	Cam	28	2.83	79.24
Europe	Khudobin	Anton	31	2.27	70.37
Europe	Raanta	Antti	22	2.67	58.74
Fla	Vanecek	Vitek	12	2.49	29.88
Fla	Kahkonen	Kaapo	12	2.64	31.68
Fla	Bobrovsky	Sergei	44	2.87	126.28
LA	Kuemper	Darcy	39	2.32	90.48
LA	Rittich	David	12	3.12	37.44
Mtl	Price	Carey	42	2.73	114.66
NJ	Markstrom	Jacob	44	2.65	116.6
NJ	Allen	Jake	20	2.87	57.4
Nsh	Saros	Juuse	39	2.76	107.64
NYI	Sorokin	Ilya	33	2.34	77.22
NYI	Varlamov	Semyon	25	2.66	66.5
NYI	Hogberg	Marcus	11	2.89	31.79
NYR	Shesterkin	Igor	35	2.55	89.25
NYR	Quick	Jonathan	29	2.77	80.33
Ott	Ullmark	Linus	40	2.49	99.6
Phi	Petersen	Cal	33	2.54	83.82
Pit	Jarry	Tristan	43	2.63	113.09
Sea	Grubauer	Philipp	38	2.33	88.54
SJ	Georgiev	Alexandar	25	2.84	71
StL	Binnington	Jordan	34	2.51	85.34
TB	Vasilevskiy	Andrei	42	2.36	99.12
Tor	Murray	Matt	40	2.89	115.6
Van	Demko	Thatcher	31	2.82	87.42
Van	Lankinen	Kevin	12	3.01	36.12
VGK	Samsonov	Ilya	36	2.25	81
Wpg	Hellebuyck	Connor	44	2.62	115.28
Wpg	Driedger	Chris	12	3.25	39

Team Skater + Goalie Sums

TEAM	GOALS PREDICTED FOR	GOALS PREDICTED AGAINST	PREDICTED WINNING % (GF^2)/(GF^2 + GA^2)	Predicted Wins	Predicted Losses
AHL	21	359	0.061	5	77
Ana	72	222	0.252	21	61
Bos	91	213	0.293	24	58
Buf	87	218	0.282	23	59
Car	142	239	0.371	30	52
CBJ	117	193	0.379	31	51
Chi	128	261	0.331	27	55
Col	195	221	0.464	38	44
Dal	137	248	0.357	29	53
Det	130	227	0.363	30	52
Europe	289	200	0.590	48	34
Fla	153	227	0.408	33	49
LA	93	206	0.318	26	56
Mtl	105	224	0.321	26	56
NJ	104	223	0.324	27	55
Nsh	138	226	0.378	31	51
NYI	162	209	0.431	35	47
NYR	150	217	0.403	33	49
Ott	122	204	0.368	30	52
Phi	72	208	0.261	21	61
Pit	153	216	0.416	34	48
Sea	99	191	0.339	28	54
SJ	83	233	0.256	21	61
StL	128	206	0.389	32	50
TB	135	194	0.409	34	48
Tor	196	237	0.453	37	45
Van	143	236	0.372	31	51
VGK	208	184	0.530	43	39
Wpg	158	226	0.411	34	48